Great Southern Bancorp Stock Volatility

GSBC Stock  USD 63.28  0.04  0.06%   
At this point, Great Southern is very steady. Great Southern Bancorp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Great Southern Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Great Southern's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0964, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2449, and Downside Deviation of 1.93 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1043

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Small ReturnsGSBC
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Based on monthly moving average Great Southern is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Great Southern by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Great Southern's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Great Southern Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Great daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Great's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Great Southern volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Great Southern's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Great Southern's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Great Southern can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Great Southern at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Great Southern's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Great Southern's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.9
Alpha
0.18
Risk
1.87
Sharpe Ratio
0.1
Expected Return
0.19

Moving together with Great Stock

  0.72BIRG Bank of IrelandPairCorr
  0.71AX Axos FinancialPairCorr
  0.78ASB Associated Banc CorpPairCorr
  0.9CPF Central Pacific Financial Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.7MCB Metropolitan Bank HoldingPairCorr
  0.81WBS Webster FinancialPairCorr
  0.8HFWA Heritage Financial Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.61MBLPD Macquarie BankPairCorr
  0.74VBNK VersaBankPairCorr
  0.75AROW Arrow Financial Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.78TCBI Texas Capital BancsharesPairCorr

Moving against Great Stock

  0.753YB Postal Savings BankPairCorr

Great Southern Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Great Southern's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Great stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Great stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Great Southern's beta of 0.9 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Great Southern stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Great Southern Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.81 and kurtosis of 7.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Great Southern's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Great Southern's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Great Southern correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.18   β0.90
3 Months Beta |Analyze Great Southern Bancorp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Great Southern correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Great Southern Volatility and Downside Risk

Great standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using Great Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Great Southern grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Great Southern at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Great Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Great Southern's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Great Southern will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Great Southern's PUT expiring on 2026-03-20

   Profit   
       Great Southern Price At Expiration  

Current Great Southern Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
GSBC260320P00030000-0.1033680.00297312026-03-200.0 - 4.80.0View
Put
GSBC260320P00050000-0.0556320.011293272026-03-200.05 - 0.450.0View
Put
GSBC260320P00055000-0.2813630.01495442026-03-200.0 - 4.80.0View
View All Great Southern Options

Great Southern Bancorp Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Great Southern stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Great Southern's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Great Southern's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Great Southern's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Great Southern's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Great Southern's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Great Southern's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Great Southern's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Great Southern Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Great Southern Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Great Southern has a beta of 0.8966 . This usually indicates Great Southern Bancorp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Great Southern is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Great Southern or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Great Southern's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Great stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Great Southern Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1791, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Great Southern's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how great stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Great Southern Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Great Southern Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Great Southern is 959.23. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.5 and standard deviation of 1.87. The mean deviation of Great Southern Bancorp is currently at 1.19. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.75
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Great Southern Stock Return Volatility

Great Southern historical daily return volatility represents how much of Great Southern stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.8696% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7649% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

WDFNVTYB
HCBNVTYB
FMFPVTYB
HCBNWDFN
HCBNFMFP
OAKVEXCH
  

High negative correlations

EXCHALBY
ALBYFMFP
OAKVALBY
HCBNALBY
ALBYVTYB
TMAKALBY

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Great Stock performing well and Great Southern Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Great Southern's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
VTYB  0.56  0.24  0.28  2.15  0.00 
 2.61 
 5.26 
MFBP  0.78  0.04 (0.01)(0.02) 1.16 
 3.04 
 7.54 
FMFP  0.88  0.19  0.00 (0.39) 0.00 
 5.13 
 12.41 
ANDC  0.83  0.02  0.00  0.07  1.08 
 2.16 
 8.35 
ALBY  0.25 (0.06) 0.00 (0.75) 0.00 
 0.85 
 4.47 
WDFN  0.84  0.29  0.14  1.38  0.42 
 3.70 
 9.15 
HCBN  0.24  0.08  0.00  7.55  0.00 
 1.05 
 3.26 
EXCH  0.51  0.25  0.00  2.28  0.00 
 0.14 
 17.10 
TMAK  2.59  0.19  0.03  1.41  3.21 
 6.99 
 16.08 
OAKV  1.30  0.09  0.02 (0.31) 1.56 
 2.58 
 7.56 

About Great Southern Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Great Southern or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Great Southern may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Great's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Great Southern and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Great Southern fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses3.6 M3.8 M
Market Cap631.4 M663 M
Great Southern's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Great Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Great Southern's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Great Southern's volatility to invest better

Higher Great Southern's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Great Southern Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Great Southern Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Great Southern Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Great Southern's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Great Southern's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Great Southern Investment Opportunity

Great Southern Bancorp has a volatility of 1.87 and is 2.46 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 16 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Great Southern. You can use Great Southern Bancorp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Great Southern to be traded at $62.65 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Great Southern Bancorp and DJI is 0.67 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Great Southern Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Great Southern Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Great Southern's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Great Southern's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Great Southern stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Great Southern Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Great Southern as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Great Southern's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Great Southern's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Great Southern Bancorp.

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When running Great Southern's price analysis, check to measure Great Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Great Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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